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This report constitutes the first deliverable of the project ENGIME Economic Growth and Innovation in Multicultural Environments, financed by the European Commission FP5 Key Action: Improving socio-economic knowledge base. Contract HPSE-CT2001-50007
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For two periods an expert E announces his forecast of the state to a decision-maker D who chooses action. They disagree about the precision of the probability assessments. At the end of period 1 the state is observed. In the last period E makes announcements more extreme than his forecasts....
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Organizations design their communication structures to improve decision-making while limiting wasteful influence … activities. An efficient communication protocol grants completeinformation payoffs to all organization members, thereby … strategies before being consulted. Under these assumptions, "public advocacy" is the unique efficient communication protocol …
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) communication on asset prices (stock prices, gilt yields and interest rate futures) from 1999-2023. We extend MPC communication to … communication leads to greater asset price volatility than simple and clear communication. Central banks that want to avoid … monetary policy communication, the previous literature has disregarded an important source of variation in asset prices. …
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