This paper investigates the asymmetry and long-memory volatility behavior of the Malaysian Stock Exchange daily data over a period of 1991–2005. The long-spanning data set enable us to examine piecewise before, during and after the economic crisis encountered in the Malaysian stock market. The...

This paper analyses the behaviour of volatility for several international stock market indexes, namely the SP 500 (USA), the Nikkei (Japan), the PSI 20 (Portugal), the CAC 40 (France), the DAX 30 (Germany), the FTSE 100 (UK), the IBEX 35 (Spain) and the MIB 30 (Italy), in the context of...

We show results of local fluctuation analysis, probability distributions, and fractional integration analysis for nominal exchange rates of the Polish zloty versus two foreign currencies (US dollar and German mark/euro). The results confirm the rapid change of the volatility pattern in August...

This paper deals with the analysis of global temperatures and sunspot numbers and the relationship between the two. We use techniques based on the concept of long range dependence. For the temperatures, the best specification seems to be a fractionally integrated or I(d) model with an order of...

In this paper we test for the presence of bubbles in the Nasdaq stock market index over the period 1994–2003 applying fractional integration techniques and allowing for structural breaks and non-linear adjustments of prices to dividends. The results show a significant structural break in 1998...

In this paper, we model natural gas market volatility using GARCH-class models with long memory and fat-tail distributions. First, we forecast price volatilities of spot and futures prices. Our evidence shows that none of the models can consistently outperform others across different criteria of...