Showing 1 - 10 of 110
-slump macroeconomic cycles. During both crises, world trade collapsed faster than world incomes and the trade decline was highly … trade costs hitting international supply chains. So far, the global economy has avoided the global trade wars and banking … collapses of the Depression perhaps due to improved policy. Even so, the global economy remains susceptible to large shocks due …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133067
The US advantage in per capita output, apparent from the late 19th century, is frequently attributed to its relatively large domestic market. We construct market potential measures for the US and 26 other countries between 1880 and 1913 based on a general equilibrium model of production and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086325
This paper places current efforts at international economic policy coordination in historical perspective. It argues that successful cooperation is most likely in four sets of circumstances. First, when it centers on technical issues. Second, when cooperation is institutionalized - when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091942
labor regulation of partners because intraindustry trade was important. The New World exported less differentiated products …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150840
model developed in this section suggests that the failure to coordinate policies lent a deflationary bias to the world … economy which may have contributed to the on set of the Great Depression. The third part asks what policymakers learned from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224214
Interconnections between banking crises and fiscal crises have a long history. We document the long-run evolution from classic banking panics towards modern banking crises where financial guarantees are associated with crisis resolution. Recent crises feature a feedback loop between bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997361
Foreign currency debt is widely believed to increase risks of financial crisis, especially after being implicated as a cause of the East Asian crisis in the late 1990s. In this paper, we study the effects of foreign currency debt on currency and debt crises and its indirect short and long run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150169
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480135
Four explanations for secular stagnation are distinguished: a rise in global saving, slow population growth that makes investment less attractive, averse trends in technology and productivity growth, and a decline in the relative price of investment goods. A long view from economic history is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030614
growth or contraction of the economy. What mattered was not simply growth at the time of the election but cumulative growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110236