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1996 to 2011 period using exchange rate spot, forward, and option data, we obtain a real-time index of world disaster risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152552
We propose a simple model of the international monetary system. We study the world supply and demand for reserve assets … denominated in different currencies under a variety of scenarios: a Hegemon vs. a multipolar world; abundant vs. scarce reserve … instability of the system, as well as the common prediction regarding the natural and beneficial emergence of a multipolar world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990769
In this paper we argue that the persistent global imbalances, the subprime crisis, and the volatile oil and asset prices that followed it, are tightly interconnected. They all stem from a global environment where sound and liquid financial assets are in scarce supply
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243462
We consider a dynamic Mirrlees economy in a life cycle context and study the op- timal insurance arrangement. Individual productivity evolves as a Markov process and is private information. We use a first order approach in discrete and continuous time and obtain novel theoretical and numerical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130780
This paper analyzes the possibility and the consequences of rational bubbles in a dy- namic economy where financially constrained firms demand and supply liquidity. Bub- bles are more likely to emerge, the scarcer the supply of outside liquidity and the more limited the pledgeability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130781
We show that even when the exchange rate cannot be devalued, a small set of conventional fiscal instruments can robustly replicate the real allocations attained under a nominal exchange rate devaluation in a dynamic New Keynesian open economy environment. We perform the analysis under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117401
We provide explicit solutions for government spending multipliers during a liquidity trap and within a fixed exchange regime using standard closed and open-economy models. We confirm the potential for large multipliers during liquidity traps. For a currency union, we show that self-financed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100679
We study cross-country risk sharing as a second-best problem for members of a currency union using an open economy model with nominal rigidities and provide two key results. First, we show that if financial markets are incomplete, the value of gaining access to any given level of aggregate risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102600
if wages, in addition to prices, are sticky. Finally, we compare the single country's optimum to a coordinated world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104392
The global economy has a chronic shortage of safe assets which lies behind many recent macroeconomic imbalances. This paper provides a simple model of the Safe Asset Mechanism (SAM), its recessionary safety traps, and its policy antidotes. Safety traps share many common features with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087881