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The impact of sovereign yield curve differentials on value-at-risk forecasts for foreign exchange rates
Fink, Holger Maria; Fuest, Andreas; Port, Henry - In: Risks : open access journal 6 (2018) 3, pp. 1-19
A functional ARMA-GARCH model for predicting the value-at-risk of the EURUSD exchange rate is introduced. The model … August 2005–30 September 2016. As a benchmark, we take an ARMA-GARCH and an ARMAX-GARCHX with the 2y-yield difference as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890808
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Moments expansion densities for quantifying financial risk
Ñíguez, Trino-Manuel; Perote, Javier - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 42 (2017), pp. 53-69
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938073
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Forecasting VaR models under different volatility processes and distributions of return innovations
Dendramis, Yiannis; Spungin, Giles E.; Tzavalis, Elias - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 7, pp. 515-531
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282095
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Time-varying mixture GARCH models and asymmetric volatility
Haas, Markus; Krause, Jochen; Paolella, Marc S.; … - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 26 (2013), pp. 602-623
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370491
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A TVM-Copula-MIDAS-GARCH model with applications to VaR-based portfolio selection
Jiang, Cuixia; Ding, Xiaoyi; Xu, Qifa; Tong, Yongbo - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 51 (2020), pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012659611
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A new copula for modeling portfolios with skewed, leptokurtic and high-order dependent risk factors
Quatto, Piero; Vacca, Gianmarco; Zoia, Maria Grazia - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 58 (2021), pp. 1-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187663
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GARCH models, tail indexes and error distributions : an empirical investigation
Horváth, Roman; Šopov, Boril - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 37 (2016), pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011672845
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Assessing financial stability in turbulent times : a study of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-type Value-at-Risk model performance in Thailand's transport...
Danai Likitratcharoen; Lucksuda Suwannamalik - In: Risks : open access journal 12 (2024) 3, pp. 1-19
of VaR approaches. This study critically evaluates the efficacy of GARCH-type VaR models within the transportation sector … GARCH-type VaR models include GARCH (1,1) VaR, ARMA (1,1)-GARCH (1,1) VaR, GARCH (1,1)-M VaR, IGARCH (1,1) VaR, EWMA VaR … surpasses GARCH-type VaR models in failure rate accuracy. Within the GARCH-type category, the EWMA VaR model exhibited superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497424
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Forecasting daily and monthly exchange rates with machine learning techniques
Plakandaras, Vasilios; Papadimitriou, Theophilos; … - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 7, pp. 560-573
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390457
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Inflation and unemployment forecasting with genetic support vector regression
Sermpinis, Georgios; Stasinakis, Charalampos; … - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 6, pp. 471-487
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426238