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GARCHNet - Value-at-Risk forecasting with novel approach to GARCH models based on neural networks
Buczyński, Mateusz; Chlebus, Marcin - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795155
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The impact of sovereign yield curve differentials on value-at-risk forecasts for foreign exchange rates
Fink, Holger Maria; Fuest, Andreas; Port, Henry - In: Risks : open access journal 6 (2018) 3, pp. 1-19
A functional ARMA-GARCH model for predicting the value-at-risk of the EURUSD exchange rate is introduced. The model … August 2005–30 September 2016. As a benchmark, we take an ARMA-GARCH and an ARMAX-GARCHX with the 2y-yield difference as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890808
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Forecasting VaR models under different volatility processes and distributions of return innovations
Dendramis, Yiannis; Spungin, Giles E.; Tzavalis, Elias - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 7, pp. 515-531
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282095
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The effectiveness of Value-at-Risk models in various volatility regimes
Schiffers, Aleksander; Chlebus, Marcin - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012816709
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HCR & HCR-GARCH - novel statistical learning models for value at risk estimation
Woźniak, Michał; Chlebus, Marcin - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795164
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Size does matter : a study on the required window size for optimal quality market risk models
Buczyńsk, Mateusz; Chlebus, Marcin - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322119
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Asymmetric volatility effects in risk management: an empirical analysis using a stock index futures
Benavides, Guillermo - 2020
In this research paper ARCH-type models and option implied volatilities (IV) are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a stock index futures portfolio for several time horizons. The relevance of the asymmetries in the estimated volatility estimation is considered. The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292347
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Assessing financial stability in turbulent times : a study of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-type Value-at-Risk model performance in Thailand's transport...
Danai Likitratcharoen; Lucksuda Suwannamalik - In: Risks : open access journal 12 (2024) 3, pp. 1-19
of VaR approaches. This study critically evaluates the efficacy of GARCH-type VaR models within the transportation sector … GARCH-type VaR models include GARCH (1,1) VaR, ARMA (1,1)-GARCH (1,1) VaR, GARCH (1,1)-M VaR, IGARCH (1,1) VaR, EWMA VaR … surpasses GARCH-type VaR models in failure rate accuracy. Within the GARCH-type category, the EWMA VaR model exhibited superior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497424
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Forecasting daily and monthly exchange rates with machine learning techniques
Plakandaras, Vasilios; Papadimitriou, Theophilos; … - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 7, pp. 560-573
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390457
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Inflation and unemployment forecasting with genetic support vector regression
Sermpinis, Georgios; Stasinakis, Charalampos; … - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 6, pp. 471-487
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426238