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In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
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We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy … declines in output, in ation, and the interest rate. Moreover, we document strong global impacts, making the world move in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
We show that traditional gravity variables play a significant role in explaining trade flows related to global value chain participation. We find evidence that cooperation costs - measured by linguistic and geographical proximity - are more relevant for trade that reflects cross-border...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647903
has emphasised the prominent role of US monetary policy, we find that although US monetary shocks have some influence in …
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We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the variance of a large set of financial and macroeconomic variables for 22 OECD countries spanning from 1960 onwards into contributions from country-specific uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363