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In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003972625
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We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy … declines in output, in ation, and the interest rate. Moreover, we document strong global impacts, making the world move in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
has emphasised the prominent role of US monetary policy, we find that although US monetary shocks have some influence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009181
We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the variance of a large set of financial and macroeconomic variables for 22 OECD countries spanning from 1960 onwards into contributions from country-specific uncertainty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363
System monetary policy in a unified and methodologically consistent framework. It identifies pure monetary policy shocks by … hierarchy in the global spillovers from ECB and Federal Reserve monetary policy: while the spillovers to consumer prices are … relatively small in both directions, Federal Reserve monetary policy shocks have a larger impact on euro area financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216473
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Modelling the link between the global macro-financial factors and firms’ default probabilities constitutes an elementary part of financial sector stress-testing frameworks. Using the Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model and constructing a linking satellite equation for the firm-level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003748979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654908
data on monetary policy shock estimates for 29 economies obtained from more than 280 monetary models in the literature …. Consistent with the predictions from our hypothesis we find: Monetary policy shock estimates obtained from New Keynesian DSGE … imply implausibly similar estimates of the global output spillovers from monetary policy in the US and the euro area. None …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664579