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This paper presents a new dataset on the dynamics of non-performing loans (NPLs) during 88 banking crises since 1990. The data show similarities across crises during NPL build-ups but less so during NPL resolutions. We find a close relationship between NPL problems-elevated and unresolved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206258
We develop a structural model for valuing bank balance sheet components such as the equity and debt value, the value … for the government when the bank is operated by private shareholders including the present value of a possible future … bailout, the bailout value incurred by the government following the abandonment of the private shareholders, and, moreover …
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The investment fund sector, the largest component of the non-bank financial system, is growing rapidly and the economy …. Funds invest in corporate bonds and may hold liquidity in the form of bank deposits to meet investor redemption requests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329424
This paper proposes a framework for deriving early-warning models with optimal out-of-sample forecasting properties and applies it to predicting distress in European banks. The main contributions of the paper are threefold. First, the paper introduces a conceptual framework to guide the process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920949
In this paper, we construct a structural model to determine the costs of a bank rescue considering bail-outs and bail … abandon the bank. Given this trigger, the model also determines the bank rescue costs, the expected time to the bank rescue … and the bank rescue probabilities. A static analysis of our model produces several empirically testable hypotheses. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745783
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endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form … expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a return on deposits according to their risk. This creates strategic … of bank net worth and lead to a "gambling trap" with a persistent drop in investment and output. I bring the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959253
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