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markets. We use filtered historical simulations, GARCH models, and stochastic volatility models. The out-of-sample performance … models, we obtain better Value-at-Risk forecasts compared to GARCH. The quality varies over forecasting horizons and across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855291
A functional ARMA-GARCH model for predicting the value-at-risk of the EURUSD exchange rate is introduced. The model … August 2005–30 September 2016. As a benchmark, we take an ARMA-GARCH and an ARMAX-GARCHX with the 2y-yield difference as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890808
Expected utility theory (EUT) is currently the standard framework which formally defines rational decision-making under risky conditions. EUT uses a theoretical device called von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function, where concepts of function and random variable are employed in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520657
Diversification practices by banks affect their own risk of failing and the risk of the banking system as a whole (systemic risk). A seminal theoretical work has shown that linear diversification can reduce the risk of a bank failing, but at the cost of increasing systemic risk. Later, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471496
Creating favorable conditions for the development of industry is one of the key tasks with an increased level of complexity, the solution of which is associated with attracting investments and forming an investment policy that takes into account various specific characteristics of its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471497
Shari’a governance is considered a crucial element of the Islamic banking industry. As recent as 2017, Islamic banks in the Kingdom of Bahrain were required by the regulator to have only a Shari’a Supervisory Board and an internal Shari’a function. In 2017, the Central Bank of Bahrain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013471498
forecasting accuracy and risk management efficiency. The results demonstrate that the RNN outperforms GARCH and EWMA in average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626254
Developments in the world of finance have led the authors to assess the adequacy of using the normal distribution assumptions alone in measuring risk. Cushioning against risk has always created a plethora of complexities and challenges; hence, this paper attempts to analyse statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795821
-based Predictive Model (EFPM). Then, we combine it with the Copula-GARCH simulation model and the Mean-Conditional Value at Risk (Mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388728
several different multivariate GARCH models (dynamic conditional correlation (DCC), asymmetric DCC (ADCC), generalized … orthogonal GARCH (GO-GARCH)) to estimate minimum variance equity portfolios. Both long and short portfolios are considered. An …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895634