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the recently developed nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag cointegration technique. Tourism development is proxied by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161866
The statistical analysis of financial time series is a rich and diversified research field whose inherent complexity requires an interdisciplinary approach, gathering together several disciplines, such as statistics, economics, and computational sciences. This special issue of the Journal of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304649
This paper investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports in Vietnam using quarterly data from the … testing approach to the analysis of level relationships between effective exchange rate volatility and exports. Using the … results show that exchange rate volatility negatively affects the export volume in the long run, as expected. A depreciation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961686
The symmetrical relationship between currency and equity markets has gained much attention among academicians and policy makers in the recent era. Many studies conducted on this relationship have concluded that there is short-run relationship between these variables and found less evidence about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895619
volatility. This paper adopts a Bayesian approach to estimate stock price volatility. We find evidence that overall Bayesian … volatility estimates more closely approximate the implied volatility of stocks derived from traded call and put options prices … compared to historical volatility estimates sourced from IVolatility.com (“IVolatility”). Our evidence suggests use of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555938
This paper develops a fully-fledged statistical arbitrage strategy based on a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model and applies it to high-frequency data of the S&P 500 constituents from January 1998-December 2015. In particular, the established stock selection and trading framework identifies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022240
one-month variance swap rate, i.e., the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) accurately. Our research suggests that one should use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174118
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555888
cointegration analysis and error-correction models. Two measures of exchange rate volatility are used in this study. According to …This paper analyzes the effects of real exchange rate volatility on the United States’ exports to BRICS. It focuses on … exchange rate volatility on exports, it also uses the method of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821337
foreign exchange markets to see whether there is fractional cointegration between the markets in one trading zone or for one …. Applying a purely semiparametric approach through the whole analysis shows fractional cointegration can only be found for a … small minority of different cases. Investigating further we find that all volatility series show persistence breaks during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322368