Showing 1 - 10 of 161
forecasting the volatility of international stock markets. Furthermore, the results suggest that the most vulnerable stock markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813501
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
quite successful in forecasting monthly changes in commodity prices, but that success diminished in the period following …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798924
This paper proposes a new combined semiparametric estimator of the conditional variance that takes the product of a parametric estimator and a nonparametric estimator based on machine learning. A popular kernel-based machine learning algorithm, known as the kernel-regularized least squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814196
systematic exploration and forecasting of sovereign default risks. Multivariate statistical and stochastic process …-based sovereign default risk forecasting has a 50-year developmental history. This article describes a continuous, non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792441
can be used in risk measurement and forecasting. Value at risk (VaR) is a widely used measure of financial risk, which … series analysis conducted and led to the forecasting of the returns. It was noted that these methods could not be used in … relation of assets with each other. Furthermore, we also examined the environment as a whole, then applied forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795821
forecasting stock prices shows how difficult it is to predict stock prices, there is evidence that predicting stock price … to understand and estimate and are useful methods for forecasting the stock price direction of clean energy stocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483492
the current monetary policy framework and the challenges in transitioning towards FFIT. Given that forecasting is central … to FFIT, we develop a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support transition to FFIT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486242
forecasting the return on investment (ROI). We also attempt to compare machine learning methods including the quantile regression … model with movie performance data in terms of in-sample and out of sample forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304867
The paper investigates whether Bitcoin is a good predictor of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index. To answer this question we compare alternative models using a point and density forecast relying on Dynamic Model Averaging (DMA) and Dynamic Model Selection (DMS). According to our results, Bitcoin...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022045