Showing 1 - 10 of 161
Many actuarial science researchers on stochastic modeling and forecasting of systematic mortality risk use Cairns … integrate the CBD model to enhance its accuracy and predictive capacity for future systematic mortality risk in countries with … be implemented by Kenyan insurance firms when modeling and forecasting systematic mortality risk helpful in the pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588185
Systematic traders employ algorithmic strategies to manage their investments. As a result of the deterministic nature of such strategies, it is possible to determine their exact responses to any conceivable set of market conditions. Consequently, sensitivity analysis can be conducted to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025293
In this study, we try to examine whether the forecast errors obtained by the ANN models affect the breakout of financial crises. Additionally, we try to investigate how much the asymmetric information and forecast errors are reflected on the output values. In our study, we used the exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545129
Building on an economic model of rational Bitcoin mining, we measured the carbon footprint of Bitcoin mining power consumption using feed-forward neural networks. We found associated carbon footprints of 2.77, 16.08 and 14.99 MtCO2e for 2017, 2018 and 2019 based on a novel bottom-up approach,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821293
In this paper, the pricing performances of two learning networks, namely an artificial neural network and a bootstrap aggregating ensemble network, were compared when pricing the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) Top 40 European call options in a modern option pricing framework using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588109
constant relative risk aversion utility. The method extends a recursive polynomial exponential approximation framework by … market price of risk, a 4/2 model with jumps, and an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck 4/2 model. In only one case, the closed-form solution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626104
are crucial for bitcoin investors’ decision-making analysis and risk management. However, most previous studies of bitcoin … bitcoin's return volatility and Value at Risk. The objective of this study is to compare their out-of-sample performance in … forecasting accuracy and risk management efficiency. The results demonstrate that the RNN outperforms GARCH and EWMA in average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626254
The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 caused major economic disturbances in the oil market. In this paper, we consider five variables that describe the microeconomics of the supply of and demand for oil, and evaluate their importance before, during and after the global financial crisis. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627122
attempting to make current and future decisions using the yield data. Lenders and risk management consultants may benefit from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627667
value at risk (VaR) of the simulations. We also estimate the tail-risk using VaR backtesting. Finally, we use an artificial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628344