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On setting day-ahead equity trading risk limits
Fuertes, Ana María; Olmo, Jose - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 9 (2016) 3, pp. 1-20
This paper investigates the information content of the ex post overnight return for one-day-ahead equity Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting. To do so, we deploy a univariate VaR modeling approach that constructs the forecast at market open and, accordingly, exploits the available overnight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543115
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Abnormal returns or mismeasured risk? : network effects and risk spillover in stock returns
Bhattacharjee, Arnab; Roy, Sudipto - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 12 (2019) 2/50, pp. 1-13
Recent event study literature has highlighted abnormal stock returns, particularly in short event windows. A common explanation is the cross-correlation of stock returns that are often enhanced during periods of sharp market movements. This suggests the misspecification of the underlying factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022242
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Clarifying the response of gold return to financial indicators : an empirical comparative analysis using ordinary least squares, robust and quantile regressions
Miyazaki, Takashi - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 12 (2019) 1/33, pp. 1-18
returns fall sharply; (2) it rises as the stock market volatility increases; (3) it also rises when general financial market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022330
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Portfolio volatility estimation relative to stock market cross-sectional intrinsic entropy
Vint̜e, Claudiu; Ausloos, Marcel - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 16 (2023) 2, pp. 1-24
Selecting stock portfolios and assessing their relative volatility risk compared to the market as a whole, market … uses the cross-sectional intrinsic entropy (CSIE) model to estimate the cross-sectional volatility of the stock groups that … can be considered together as portfolio constituents. The CSIE market volatility estimate is based on daily traded prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305795
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Quantile risk-return trade-off
Aslanidis, Nektarios; Christiansen, Charlotte; Savva, … - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 6, pp. 1-14
We investigate the risk-return trade-off on the US and European stock markets. We investigate the non-linear risk-return trade-off with a special eye to the tails of the stock returns using quantile regressions. We first consider the US stock market portfolio. We find that the risk-return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587977
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Time-varying risk and the relation between idiosyncratic risk and stock return
Fu, Chengbo - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 9, pp. 1-16
This paper studies the historical time-varying dynamics of risk for individual stocks in the U.S. market. Total risk of an individual stock is decomposed into two components, systematic risk and idiosyncratic risk, and both components are studied separately. We start from the historical trend in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628441
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An investigation of the beta anomaly in emerging markets : a South African case
Segojane, Mabekebeke; Ndlovu, Godfrey - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 5, pp. 1-18
-sectional econometric techniques to analyze the risk-return relationship implied by the CAPM, using data that span over 5 years and 220 … only determinant of risk in the South African stock market. We also found positive beta-idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273464
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Financial crises, macroeconomic variables, and long-run risk : an econometric analysis of stock returns correlations (2000 to 2019)
Tronzano, Marco - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 3/127, pp. 1-25
This paper focuses on four major aggregate stock price indexes (SP 500, Stock Europe 600, Nikkei 225, Shanghai Composite) and two "safe-haven" assets (Gold, Swiss Franc), and explores their return co-movements during the last two decades. Significant contagion effects on stock markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486245
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Statistical arbitrage with mean-reverting overnight price gaps on high-frequency data of the S&P 500
Stübinger, Johannes; Schneider, Lucas - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 12 (2019) 2/51, pp. 1-19
This paper develops a fully-fledged statistical arbitrage strategy based on a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model and applies it to high-frequency data of the S&P 500 constituents from January 1998-December 2015. In particular, the established stock selection and trading framework identifies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022240
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Intraday jumps, liquidity, and U.S. macroeconomic news : evidence from exchange traded funds
Jurdi, Doureige J. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 6/118, pp. 1-20
macroeconomic news surprises on the frequency of observing intraday jumps. It explicitly addresses market microstructure noise … results show a significant increase in trading costs and elevated levels of information asymmetry before observing jumps …. Depth, resiliency, and trading activity are associated with the frequency of observing intraday jumps and cojumps. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305143