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Validation of the Merton distance to the default model under ambiguity

Chen, Wei-ling; So, Leh-chyan - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 7 (2014) 1, pp. 13-27

Bharath and Shumway (2008) provide evidence that shows that it is the functional form of Merton’s (1974) distance to default (DD) model that makes it useful and important for predicting defaults. In this paper, we investigate whether the default predictability of the Merton DD model would be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553338

Crypto exchanges and credit risk : modeling and forecasting the probability of closure

Fantazzini, Dean; Calabrese, Raffaella - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 11, pp. 1-23

While there is increasing interest in crypto assets, the credit risk of these exchanges is still relatively unexplored. To fill this gap, we considered a unique dataset of 144 exchanges, active from the first quarter of 2018 to the first quarter of 2021. We analyzed the determinants surrounding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794905

Predicting insolvency of the construction companies in the creditworthiness assessment process : empirical evidence from Poland

Balina, Rafał; Idasz-Balina, Marta; Achsani, Noer Azam - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 10, pp. 1-16

Prediction insolvency is one of the most important issues during creditworthiness assessment, especially in the turmoil … environment. That is why the problem of insolvency and bankruptcy prediction has been the subject of numerous studies focused on … effectively used in practice to analyze and signal the risk of insolvency and bankruptcy of a construction firms. Also, the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628749

Determinants of the economic vulnerability of businesses to pandemics and similar events

Tisdell, Clement A. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 14 (2021) 11, pp. 1-13

After providing a general overview of factors that make businesses economically vulnerable to pandemics (such as COVID-19), this article identifies specific elements that increase the vulnerability of businesses to pandemics. These specifics include the extent to which the demand for their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795378

Corporate bankruptcy prediction model, a special focus on listed companies in Kenya

Ogachi, Daniel; Ndege, Richard; Gaturu, Peter; Zoltan, Zeman - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 3/47, pp. 1-14

Predicting bankruptcy of companies has been a hot subject of focus for many economists. The rationale for developing and predicting the financial distress of a company is to develop a predictive model used to forecast the financial condition of a company by combining several econometric...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174130

Probability of default and default correlations

Li, Weiping - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 9 (2016) 3, pp. 1-19

We consider a system where the asset values of firms are correlated with the default thresholds. We first evaluate the probability of default of a single firm under the correlated assets assumptions. This extends Merton’s probability of default of a single firm under the independent asset...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543135

The two defaults scenario for stressing credit portfolio loss distributions

Tasche, Dirk - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 9 (2016) 1, pp. 1-18

The impact of a stress scenario of default events on the loss distribution of a credit portfolio can be assessed by determining the loss distribution conditional on these events. While it is conceptually easy to estimate loss distributions conditional on default events by means of Monte Carlo...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544020

Corporate governance and corporate creditworthiness

Parnes, Dror - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 4 (2012) 1, pp. 1-42

We examine the relation between corporate governance and bankruptcy risk as an underlying force affecting a bond’s yield. The level of corporate governance is captured by the G-index, along with the explicit groups of governance provisions. We estimate bankruptcy risk by Z-score, by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555892

Financial distress comparison across three global regions

Platt, Harlan D.; Platt, Marjorie B. - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 1 (2008) 1, pp. 129-162

Globalization has precipitated movement of output and employment between regions. We examine factors related to corporate financial distress across three continents. Using a multidimensional definition of financial distress we test three hypotheses to explain financial distress using historical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556293

Corporate failure risk assessment for knowledge-intensive services using the evidential reasoning approach

Tan, Meng-Meng; Xu, Dong-Ling; Yang, Jian-bo - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 3, pp. 1-29

In this study, a new risk assessment model is developed and the evidence reasoning (ER) approach is applied to assess failure risk of knowledge-intensive services (KIS) corporates in the UK. General quantitative financial indicators alone (e.g., operational capability or profitability) cannot...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013163998

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