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We investigate the risk-return trade-off on the US and European stock markets. We investigate the non-linear risk-return trade-off with a special eye to the tails of the stock returns using quantile regressions. We first consider the US stock market portfolio. We find that the risk-return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587977
regressions are used to study this relation as we control for beta, size, book-to-market ratio, momentum and liquidity. From a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628441
growing importance of emerging markets, the literature on the nature of volatility in global markets is typified by … volatility in developed G7 and emerging BRICS markets. Broad market index data and GARCH models over the period 2003 …:01–2020:08 were employed. The study found evidence of volatility persistence, asymmetry, mean reversion and weak evidence of a risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012872753
This study investigated how stock market volatility responded dynamically to unexpected changes during the COVID-19 … pandemic and the resulting uncertainty in Thailand. Using a multivariate GARCH-BEKK model, the conditional volatility dynamics …, the interlinkages, and the conditional correlations between stock market volatility and the increasing rate of COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284290
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880
show that the volatility of the survivor stocks portfolio is less exposed to tail risks and responds less to shocks in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888297
This paper provides global evidence supporting the hypothesis that expected return models are enhanced by the inclusion of variables that describe the evolution of book-to-market-changes in book value, changes in price, and net share issues. This conclusion is supported using data representing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022063
Machine learning (ML) is a novel method that has applications in asset pricing and that fits well within the problem of measurement in economics. Unlike econometrics, ML models are not designed for parameter estimation and inference, but similar to econometrics, they address, and may be better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475217
We studied (i) the volatility feedback effect, defined as the relationship between contemporaneous returns and the … market-based volatility, and (ii) the leverage effect, defined as the relationship between lagged returns and the current … market-based volatility. For our analysis, we used daily measures of volatility estimated from high frequency data to explain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309061
degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303