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Many actuarial science researchers on stochastic modeling and forecasting of systematic mortality risk use Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD) Model (2006) due to its ability to consider the cohort effects. A three-factor stochastic mortality model has three parameters that describe the mortality trends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588185
In some applications of supervised machine learning, it is desirable to trade model complexity with greater interpretability for some covariates while letting other covariates remain a "black box". An important example is hedonic property valuation modeling, where machine learning techniques...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273136
In this study, we apply several advanced machine learning techniques including extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), and a deep neural network to predict bankruptcy using easily obtainable financial data of 3728 Belgian Small and Medium Enterprises (SME’s) during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814176
We present a deep reinforcement learning framework for an automatic trading of contracts for difference (CfD) on indices at a high frequency. Our contribution proves that reinforcement learning agents with recurrent long short-term memory (LSTM) networks can learn from recent market history and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302717
Proper credit-risk management is essential for lending institutions, as substantial losses can be incurred when borrowers default. Consequently, statistical methods that can measure and analyze credit risk objectively are becoming increasingly important. This study analyzes default payment data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855150
Banks generally use credit scoring models to assess the creditworthiness of customers when they apply for loans or credit. These models perform significantly worse when used on potential new customers than existing customers, due to the lack of financial behavioral data for new bank customers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284265
In today's era of big data, deep learning and artificial intelligence have formed the backbone for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization. Researchers have investigated various state of the art machine learning models to predict Bitcoin price and volatility. Machine learning models like recurrent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173959