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accounts for the interaction between temperature, economic growth and risk. The model simultaneously matches the projected … temperature path, the observed consumption growth dynamics, discount rates provided by the risk-free rate and equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966590
International risk-sharing has far-reaching implications both for economic policy and for basic research in economics …. When countries do not share risk, individuals in those countries experience fluctuations in their consumption levels that … are undesirable and possibly unnecessary. This paper extends and refines the study of international risk-sharing in two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129220
The extent and direction of causation between micro volatility and business cycles are debated. We examine, empirically and theoretically, the source and effects of fluctuations in the dispersion of producer- level sales and production over the business cycle. On the theoretical side, we study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044984
uncertainty is time-varying, and (2) countries have heterogeneous exposures to a world aggregate shock. We embed these features in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121723
idiosyncratic entrepreneurial risk-- a risk that introduces, not only a precautionary motive for saving, but also a wedge between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068649
the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149302
: (1) financial crisis is unlikely to happen in the near future, and (2) the ultimate risk lies with China's economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929553
and international trade in goods and securities.In our model, the world allocation of capital is governed, to some extent …, by the asset preferences of risk averse consumer-investors. In a one-good variant in the spirit of the MacDougall model … world of certaint and may hinge on the identity of the factor which is used intensively in the industry with random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311908
stocks and risk-free bonds over its lifecycle. We show that allowing for the wage indexation of social security benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125573
and to examine two potential explanations of the asymmetry: leverage effects and time-varying risk premiums. Our empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783965