Hueffer, Karsten; Fonseca, Miguel A.; Leiserowitz, Anthony - In: Judgment and Decision Making 8 (2013) 2, pp. 91-105
Environmental uncertainty is at the core of much of human activity, ranging from daily decisions by individuals to long-term policy planning by governments. Yet, there is little quantitative evidence on the ability of non-expert individuals or populations to forecast climate-related events. Here...