This text presents the economic forecast released by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich on 13 June 2014. After an introduction describing the starting points and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. Then we turn to the...

: This text contains the winter forecast 2014 of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, released on 17 December 2014. We present the recent economic developments in Switzerland and abroad, and discusses the main forecast results in the various sectors of the economy. We expect the Swiss...

This text presents the economic forecast of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich on 23 September 2013. After an introduction describing the starting points and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. Then we turn to the international...

This text presents the economic forecast presented by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at the ETH Zurich on 17 December 2013. After an introduction describing the starting points and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. We then turn to the...

This text presents the economic forecast conducted by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at the ETH Zurich as published on 26 March 2013. After an introduction describing the current situation and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. Then we...

This paper presents a new composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle corresponding to the growth cycle concept. It is the result of another complete overhaul of the KOF Economic Barometer that has been published by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute on a monthly basis since 1976. In...

This text presents the economic forecast conducted by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at the ETH Zurich as published on 26 March 2013. After an introduction describing the current situation and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. Then we...

Die starke Aufwertung des Schweizer Frankens veranlasste die Schweizerische Nationalbank (SNB), verschiedene Massnahmen zu ergreifen. In diesem Beitrag soll das Ausmass dieser «massiven Überbewertung» gegenüber dem wichtigsten Handelspartner der Schweiz, d.h. Deutschland, geschätzt werden....

In diesem Beitrag wird untersucht, welchen Einfluss Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrisen auf den Grad der wirtschaftlichen Entscheidungsfreiheit («economic freedom») ausüben. Die Analyse beruht einerseits auf einer Fallstudie der skandinavischen Bankenkrise der neunziger Jahre, andererseits auf...

Inflations- und Wachstumszyklen sind eng miteinander verbunden; in einem Abschwung lässt der Preisdruck üblicherweise nach, im Aufschwung nimmt er zu. Mit ihrer Zinspolitik versucht die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) diese Zyklen zu dämpfen. Solange aber die Konjunkturzyklen in der...