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the fiscal policy measures taken in Switzerland. Then we use simulations with the KOF macroeconomic model to assess the … effects on the Swiss economy of a) the Swiss measures on the one hand and b) the fiscal stimulus packages taken by Switzerland … stimulus packages in Switzerland and abroad, we re-run the KOF macroeconometric model counterfactually, modifying the variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277785
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003907491
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010473130
Konjunkturprognosen unterliegen derzeit einer ungewöhnlich hohen Unsicherheit. Jeden Tag werden neue Massnahmen zur Bekämpfung der Corona-Pandemie angekündigt. Es herrscht nicht nur Unklarheit über die aktuelle und künftige Ausbreitung des Virus, sondern auch über staatliche...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012220497
In a pioneering attempt we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319709
We evaluate nowcasts and one- to four-quarter-ahead forecasts of Swiss full time equivalent jobs from 1998q1–2011q4, comparing forecasts of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute and of the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs with the outcome of the reference series. Both forecasts are biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098262
In this study we construct the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. To the best of our knowledge, this has never …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104620
We evaluate nowcasts and one- to four-quarter-ahead forecasts of Swiss full time equivalent jobs from 1998-2011, comparing forecasts of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute and of the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs with the outcome of the reference series. Both forecasts are biased downward,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319710
constructed for Germany and Switzerland. We use these indices in order to track the business cycle dynamics in these two countries … Switzerland. Third, we show that the RWI-based forecasts are more accurate than the consensus forecasts (published by Consensus … Economics Inc.) for Switzerland, whereas we reach the opposite conclusion for Germany. In fact, the accuracy of the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319719
Die KOF hat für den Branchenverband VISCOM und die Gewerkschaft Syndicom eine Umfrage bei den Unternehmen der grafischen Industrie durchgeführt. Die Schweizer Unternehmen der grafischen Industrie haben zwar unter der jüngsten Rezession gelitten, für die Zukunft erwarten sie aber eine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009303722