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the fiscal policy measures taken in Switzerland. Then we use simulations with the KOF macroeconomic model to assess the … effects on the Swiss economy of a) the Swiss measures on the one hand and b) the fiscal stimulus packages taken by Switzerland … stimulus packages in Switzerland and abroad, we re-run the KOF macroeconometric model counterfactually, modifying the variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277785
In a pioneering attempt we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319709
- can be useful for short-term out-of-sample prediction of year-on-year quarterly real GDP growth rates in Switzerland. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285792
In this study we construct the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. To the best of our knowledge, this has never …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104620
quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings … estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014181644
-on-quarter growth rates in Switzerland. It also assesses the informational content of macroeconomic data releases for forecasting of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277729
constructed for Germany and Switzerland. We use these indices in order to track the business cycle dynamics in these two countries … Switzerland. Third, we show that the RWI-based forecasts are more accurate than the consensus forecasts (published by Consensus … Economics Inc.) for Switzerland, whereas we reach the opposite conclusion for Germany. In fact, the accuracy of the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319719
(2012) in a genuine ex ante forecasting exercise. We perform our forecast of GDP growth in Switzerland in real time using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319722
-term forecasting of employment in Switzerland aggregated in the KOF Employment Indicator. We use the real time dataset in order to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285821
The current debt crisis has shed light on the importance of accurate fiscal forecasts. In particular, the accuracy of revenue forecasts is central since they set the limit within which expenditure should remain in order to reach fiscal balance. Therefore, forecasting tax revenue accurately is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088763