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the fiscal policy measures taken in Switzerland. Then we use simulations with the KOF macroeconomic model to assess the … effects on the Swiss economy of a) the Swiss measures on the one hand and b) the fiscal stimulus packages taken by Switzerland … stimulus packages in Switzerland and abroad, we re-run the KOF macroeconometric model counterfactually, modifying the variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277785
In a pioneering attempt we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319709
We evaluate nowcasts and one- to four-quarter-ahead forecasts of Swiss full time equivalent jobs from 1998q1–2011q4, comparing forecasts of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute and of the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs with the outcome of the reference series. Both forecasts are biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098262
In this study we construct the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. To the best of our knowledge, this has never …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104620
We evaluate nowcasts and one- to four-quarter-ahead forecasts of Swiss full time equivalent jobs from 1998-2011, comparing forecasts of the KOF Swiss Economic Institute and of the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs with the outcome of the reference series. Both forecasts are biased downward,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319710
constructed for Germany and Switzerland. We use these indices in order to track the business cycle dynamics in these two countries … Switzerland. Third, we show that the RWI-based forecasts are more accurate than the consensus forecasts (published by Consensus … Economics Inc.) for Switzerland, whereas we reach the opposite conclusion for Germany. In fact, the accuracy of the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319719
While Switzerland's recent growth of employment was high in historical and international perspective, the reasons for … consequence of the “miracle”, but also an important cause, as it created additional jobs in Switzerland by raising local demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040487
rich countries: New Zealand and Switzerland. We briefly discuss Kehoe/Prescott's definition of a great depression … perform sensitivity tests with respect to alternative operationalisations for Switzerland and the U.S. It is shown that with …-performing Switzerland reduces considerably. Yet, this still does not explain the comparatively poor economic growth in Switzerland during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285923
Der hier vorgestellte multisektorale Sammelindikator für die Schweizer Gesamtkonjunktur weist gegenüber vergleichbaren Frühindikatoren für die Entwicklung des Bruttoinlandprodukts (BIP) eine Reihe von methodischen Innovationen auf und berücksichtigt eine vergleichsweise grosse Anzahl von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285953