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The R-word index for Switzerland
Iselin, David; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2012
In a pioneering attempt we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319709
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The R-Word Index for Switzerland
Iselin, David - 2012
In this study we construct the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. To the best of our knowledge, this has never …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104620
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Capacity utilisation, constraints and price adjustments under the Microscope
Lein, Sarah M.; Köberl, Eva - 2009
This paper analyses the interplay of capacity utilisation, capacity constraints, demand constraints and price adjustments, employing a unique firm-level data set for Swiss manufacturing firms. Theoretically, capacity constraints limit the ability of firms to expand production in the short run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285797
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Using newspapers for tracking the business cycle: A comparative study for Germany and Switzerland
Iselin, David; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2013
constructed for Germany and Switzerland. We use these indices in order to track the business cycle dynamics in these two countries … Switzerland. Third, we show that the RWI-based forecasts are more accurate than the consensus forecasts (published by Consensus … Economics Inc.) for Switzerland, whereas we reach the opposite conclusion for Germany. In fact, the accuracy of the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319719
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The NAICU and the Phillips curve: An approach based on micro data
Köberl, Eva; Lein, Sarah M. - 2008
In this paper we propose a straightforward method to derive a non-accelerating inflation capacity utilisation rate (NAICU) based on micro data. We condition the current capacity utilisation of firms on their current and planned price adjustments. The non-accelerating inflation capacity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285794
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The speed of adjustment to demand shocks: A Markov-chain measurement using micro panel data
Müller, Christian; Köberl, Eva - 2007
In this paper we measure the speed at which firms adjust to demand shocks using individual firm data. Identification of shocks is achieved by a combination of quantitative and qualitative judgments on capacity utilisation in micro survey data. A novel feature of our approach is the distinction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277760
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Business cycle measurement with semantic filtering: A micro data approach
Müller, Christian; Köberl, Eva - 2008
In this paper we develop a business cycle measure that can be shown to have excellent ex-ante forecasting properties for GDP growth. For identifying business cycle movements, we use a semantic approach. We infer nine different states of the economy directly from firms' responses in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285806