Showing 1 - 10 of 44
Global growth prospects have deteriorated significantly since the beginning of the year, raising the specter of global recession. This paper relies on insights gleaned from previous global recessions to analyze the recent evolution of economic activity and policies and presents plausible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541046
This paper evaluates whether the 2011 national stability programs (SPs) of the euro area countries are instrumental in achieving economic stability in the European Monetary Union (EMU). In particular, we analyze how the SPs address the double challenge of public deficits and external imbalances....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286525
Macroeconomic crises are common as well as economically, socially and politically costly. Fiscal policy plays an important role in alleviating the costs of the crisis. However, recent experiences suggest that the public finances often are unprepared for a crisis. Deficits and debt levels prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208884
forecasting experiment is based on a novel big macroeconomic dataset (FRED-QD) comprising over 200 quarterly indicators for almost …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117679
This paper conducts an extensive forecasting study on 13,118 time series measuring Swiss goods exports, grouped …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058388
This article investigates the effects of macroeconomic policy (monetary and fiscal) on output growth during financial crises characterized by a sudden stop" in net capital inflows in developing and emerging market economies. We investigate 83 sudden stop crises in 77 countries over 1982-2003...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285311
The economy of the European Union has not recovered from the impact of the economic and financial crisis. Growth rates remain low and investment activity is weak. This questions current economic policies of the Economic and Monetary Union, known as austerity. In opposition to fiscal contraction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381297
Financial market crises with the threat of a subsequent debt-deflation depression have occurred with increasing regularity in the United States from 1980 through the present. Almost reflexively, when confronted with such circumstances, US institutions and the policymakers that run them have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318632
In a historical perspective, the stabilization policy regime in Sweden is in a state of constant change, affected by economic crises, international impulses, domestic politics, and developments in macroeconomic theory. Economists have been deeply involved in this process. The current framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208861
forecasting model for another variable, and hence our use of terminology such as ?out-of-sample Granger causality? (see e …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263216