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No country for old men : aging dictators and economic growth

Jong-A-Pin, Richard; Mierau, Jochen O. - 2011 - Draft: 7 October, 2011

This paper develops a model of the relationship between the age of a dictator and economic growth. In the model a dictator must spread the resources of the economy over his reign but faces mortality and political risk. The model shows that if the time horizon of the dictator decreases, either...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009315534

International terrorism, political instability and the escalation effect

Campos, Nauro; Gassebner, Martin - 2009

What are the main causes of international terrorism? The lessons from the surge of academic research that followed 9/11 remain elusive. The careful investigation of the relative roles of economic and political conditions did little to change the fact that existing econometric estimates diverge...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908642

Do IMF and World Bank programs induce government crises? : an empirical analysis

Dreher, Axel (contributor); Gassebner, Martin (contributor) - 2008

We examine whether and under which circumstances World Bank projects and IMF programs affect the likelihood of major government crises. Using a sample of more than 90 developing countries over the period 1970-2002, we find that crises are on average more likely as a consequence of Bank and Fund...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764224

The golden hello and political transitions

Aidt, Toke; Albornoz, Facundo; Gassebner, Martin - 2012

We analyze the influence of IMF and World Bank programs on political regime transitions. We develop an extended version of Acemoglu and Robinson's [American Economic Review 91, 2001] model of political transitions to show how the anticipation of new loans from international financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009629705

Does membership on the UN security council influence IMF conditionality?

Dreher, Axel; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Vreeland, James Raymond - 2010

We investigate whether elected members of the United Nations Security Council receive favorable treatment from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), analyzing panel data on the level of conditionality attached to (a maximum of) 314 IMF arrangements with 101 countries over the period of 1992 to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729030

Does membership in international organizations increase governments' credibility? : testing the effects of delegating powers

Dreher, Axel (contributor); Voigt, Stefan (contributor) - 2008

This paper analyzes whether nation-state governments can increase their credibility by becoming members of … international organizations. Credibility is an important asset because it determines the real interest rate and is expected to have … organizations can improve the credibility of nation-state governments. This hypothesis is tested by introducing three new indicators …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764217

Business surveys in the financial sector : [ECFIN/2001/6 ; final report]

Bloesch, Daniel (contributor); Etter, Richard (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001783598

Monopolistic competition in Switzerland and mark-up pricing over the business cycle

Müller-Kademann, Christian (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

We investigate how firms' market power affects the price level. In our small macro-model we show, that firms - in addition to hypothesised structural mark-up pricing power - may take advantage of favourable business cycle fluctuations. The paper provides empirical evidence for both these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002117361

Mitlaufende und vorlaufende Indikatoren des Bruttoinlandprodukts der EU insgesamt : Analyse mit vollständigen Daten, welche einmalig vom DG ECFIN zur Verfügung gestellt wurden

Etter, Richard (contributor); Gübeli, Sibylle (contributor) - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521546

The KOF Economic Barometer, version 2014 : a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle

Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - 2014

This paper presents a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle corresponding to the growth rate cycle concept. It is the result of a complete overhaul of the KOF Economic Barometer that has been published by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute on a monthly basis since 1976. In line...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338122