Showing 1 - 10 of 15
This paper discusses the goal conflict between social protection and economic growth as well as employment. Taking the German economy as an example for the large continental economies of Old Europe, it analyzes twenty mechanisms that affect the fundamentals of the economy negatively and imply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272945
panel data and alternative predictors. The candidate exchange rate predictors are drawn from (i) macroeconomic 'fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271612
Germany has had an extremely low growth performance since 1995. The paper looks at the long-run reasons for this loss of economic dynamics besides German unification: These include leaving labor idle, a declining share of investment in GDP, a weaker innovative activity, an ineffective system for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265594
The paper studies the major institutional changes that are at the root of the increase in the west European unemployment rate in the last quartercentury from below 3 percent to 11 percent. The institutional characteristics of wage bargaining, the tax wedge and the legal rules hamper the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265317
Rising income inequality is an anglo Saxon problem. For most of the other OECD countries, earnings dispersion is rather persistent. Vertical mobility is to be taken into account. The paper also looks at the relationship of income inequality, growth and employment. It elaborates the point that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265354
Germany's social security system is surveyed, its benefits and contributions are discussed. The expansion of this system in the last decades is described, its impact on employment and growth is studied and proposals for the reform of the system are discussed.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265579
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … (GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
Using a real-time data set for German GDP over the period from 1973 to 1998 we calculate various measures of real-time output gaps and use these to calibrate and estimate Taylor-type reaction functions for the Bundesbank. Most of the reaction functions we find fit the Bundesbank's actual policy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265390
This paper presents a positive model which shows that institutional setups on capital and labor markets might be intertwined by politicoeconomic forces. Two politicoeconomic equilibria arise from our model, one with little protection of insiders on capital and labor markets, and another one with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265445
When nontraded goods prices are accounted for consistently and genuine stock data on bilateral foreign asset holdings is employed, a modified sticky-price exchange rate model by far outperforms the benchmark random walk-model in empirically forecasting the D-mark/dollar parity out of sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265449