The flight and expulsion of Germans from Eastern Europe during and after World War II constitutes one of the largest forced population movements in history. We analyze the economic integration of these forced migrants and their offspring in West Germany. The empirical results suggest that even a...

In this chapter, we discuss the use of mixed frequency models and diffusion index approximation methods in the context of prediction. In particular, select recent specification and estimation methods are outlined, and an empirical illustration is provided wherein U.S. unemployment forecasts are...

This paper shows how a weighted average of a forward and reverse Jackknife IV estimator (JIVE) yields estimators that are robust against heteroscedasticity and many instruments. These estimators, called HFUL (Heteroscedasticity robust Fuller) and HLIM (Heteroskedasticity robust limited...

Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to asset management are predicated on the importance of jumps, or discontinuous movements in asset returns. In light of this, a number of recent papers have addressed volatility...

Die vorliegende Arbeit befaßt sich mit den Effekten beruflicher Weiterbildung auf die Entlassungswahrscheinlichkeit und die Wahrscheinlichkeit eigenmotivierter Kündigungen westdeutscher Arbeitnehmer. Als Datengrundlage dient das Sozio-oekonomische Panel (SOEP) 1984?1999. Zur Berücksichtigung...

This paper investigates the reservation wages of unemployed persons on the basis of a job-search model with non-static reservation wages using panel data from Germany from 1987 to 1998. The results suggest that reservation wages are relatively high in Germany compared to other countries....

This paper studies the reservation wages of unemployed persons and the wages offered them in Germany from 1987 to 1998, whereby special focus is placed on unemployment duration. The results of the study indicate that in contrast to reservation wages, offered wages decline considerably with...

Spiegeln in Befragungen ermittelte Reservationslöhne valide das wider, was nach der Suchtheorie zu erwarten wäre? Um diese Frage beantworten zu können, werden auf Basis der stationären Suchtheorie unter zu Hilfenahme von empirisch ermittelten Beobachtungen über den Sucherfolg von...

Der vorliegende Beitrag untersucht den Einfluss erfragter Reservationslöhne zu Anfang der Arbeitslosigkeit auf die Gesamtdauer bis zu einem Übergang in eine Erwerbstätigkeit auf Basis des GSOEP (2000) für Westdeutschland. Dabei findet die Selektivität im Vorliegen von...

Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a wide range of forecast horizons and allow for estimated as...