Showing 1 - 10 of 16
panel data and alternative predictors. The candidate exchange rate predictors are drawn from (i) macroeconomic 'fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271612
without resorting to ancillary information, this data is suited particular well for panel regression analyses. Several … plausibility checks indicate that the data is fairly reliable and yields plausible parameter estimates in a panel regression. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272105
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … (GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
This paper estimates the aggregate productivity effects of Marshallian externalities generated by foreign direct investments (FDI) in the US. In contrast to earlier work, this paper puts special emphasis on controlling for Marshallian externalities and other intra- and inter-regional spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265244
Using a real-time data set for German GDP over the period from 1973 to 1998 we calculate various measures of real-time output gaps and use these to calibrate and estimate Taylor-type reaction functions for the Bundesbank. Most of the reaction functions we find fit the Bundesbank's actual policy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265390
The present paper aims at explaining the regional deconcentration of economic activities in (West) Germany during the past two decades. Using an idea-based endogenous growth model that encloses several innovative sectors, that subjects economic activity to externalities of agglomeration, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265439
This paper presents a positive model which shows that institutional setups on capital and labor markets might be intertwined by politicoeconomic forces. Two politicoeconomic equilibria arise from our model, one with little protection of insiders on capital and labor markets, and another one with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265445
When nontraded goods prices are accounted for consistently and genuine stock data on bilateral foreign asset holdings is employed, a modified sticky-price exchange rate model by far outperforms the benchmark random walk-model in empirically forecasting the D-mark/dollar parity out of sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265449
This note shows that German real GDP follows a trend-stationary process. Both tests which have trend-stationarity as the alternative hypothesis as well as tests that have it under the null hypothesis prefer the trend-stationary model. Explicit consideration of breaks in the trend is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265453
Based on a standard idea-based model of endogenous growth we test the hypothesis that regional innovative activity is path-dependent, and investigate the geographical scope of knowledge spillovers. Using data for West-German regions, two alternative indicators of the stock of knowledge are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265496