Showing 1 - 10 of 62
and Japan than in the United States. Employment contributes the largest proportion of the cycle in Europe and the United … States (but not Japan), which is inconsistent with the idea that higher levels of employment protection in Europe dampen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274432
We characterize efficient allocations and business cycle fluctuations in a labor selection model. Due to forward-looking hiring and labor supply decisions, efficiency entails both static and intertemporal margins. We develop welfare-relevant measures of marginal rates of transformation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277965
This note shows that German real GDP follows a trend-stationary process. Both tests which have trend-stationarity as the alternative hypothesis as well as tests that have it under the null hypothesis prefer the trend-stationary model. Explicit consideration of breaks in the trend is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265453
The paper presents some stylized facts of Euroland's business cycle using aggregated data. The main results are: The determination of turning points in Euroland's business cycle is not very sensitive to the detrending method used, although the level of the recent output gap depends on it....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275493
Bivariate SVAR models employing long-run identifying restrictions are often used to investigate the source of business cycle fluctuations. Their advantage is the simplicity in use and interpretation. However, their low dimension may also lead to a failure of the identification procedure, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276923
" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this "persistency … equilibrium setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273181
inflation and the stabilization of the welfare relevant output gap after a productivity shock hits the economy. When the … standard model is enhanced by real wage rigidities or labor turnover costs, an endogenous short-run inflation-output tradeoff … rigidities. Second, labor turnover costs are the dominant source for the inflation-output tradeoff when both rigidities are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277953
This paper estimates whether learning-by-doing effects or cleansing effects of recessions drive the endogenous component of productivity in the United States. Using Bayesian estimation techniques we find that external and internal learning-by-doing effects dominate. We find no evidence for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270032
We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity has vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage has risen. We propose an explanation for all three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270843
In this paper, I discuss three sets of links which I uncover in the data on aggregate US job and worker flows. Job flows are strongly related to aggregate employment growth, while worker flows are strongly related to employment growth and the unemployment rate. I show that a simple frictionless...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274440