Eppinger, Peter S.; Felbermayr, Gabriel; Krebs, Oliver; … - 2020
In early 2020, the disease Covid-19 caused a drastic lockdown of the Chinese economy. We use a quantitative trade model … international trade and global value chains (GVCs). We find moderate welfare losses in most countries outside of China, while a few … countries even gain from the shock due to trade diversion. As a key methodological contribution, we quantify the role of GVCs …