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During the last two decades, the degree of openness of national financial systems has increased substantially. At the same time, asymmetries in information and other financial market frictions have remain prevalent. We study both empirically and theoretically the implications of the opening up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260621
Banking and balance of payments crises often happen quite simultaneously. We show that the impact of an expected devaluation on the net worth of commercial banks with a short open foreign exchange position speeds up the timing of a balance of payments crisis. We employ an asymmetric information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275494
In the past decade, Germany has been the world champion in exporting capital ("Exportweltmeister"). No other country invested larger amounts of savings outside its borders. However, we find that Germany plays in the third division when it comes to investment performance. To show this, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001239
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260622
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442
-elastic inputs for foreign producers. It is argued that due to high domestic inflation and substantial real appreciation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261675
We show that low trend inflation strongly affects the dynamics of a standard Neo-Keynesian model where monetary policy … is described by a standard Taylor rule. Moreover, trend inflation enlarges the indeterminacy region in the parameter … cannot disregard average inflation in both theoretical and empirical analysis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260575
This paper shows that in inflation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, inflations of (22 … associated to Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to 1980 and down thereafter …) but also to fluctuations at business cycle frequencies. Second, Global Inflation is, consistently with standard models of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260578
This paper estimates a common component in many price series that has an equiproportional effect on all prices. Changes in this component can be interpreted as changes in the value of the numeraire since, by definition, they leave all relative prices unchanged. The first aim of the paper is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260598
and Galí (2006, 2008) New-Keynesian model of inflation and unemployment, where labor market frictions due to costs of … policy rules based on current period inflation and unemployment our results are similar to those of Bullard and Mitra (2002 … market institutions we find that responding too much to expected inflation and too little to expected unemployment may very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265227