Showing 1 - 10 of 161
When nontraded goods prices are accounted for consistently and genuine stock data on bilateral foreign asset holdings is employed, a modified sticky-price exchange rate model by far outperforms the benchmark random walk-model in empirically forecasting the D-mark/dollar parity out of sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490699
: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and monetary shocks. Applying a structural VAR to data for the eurozone and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872
The effectiveness of the foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period to alter either the level or the volatility of the $/DM spot rate is examined. Volatility quotes implicit in foreign currency options are employed to recover the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476547
) aggregate. We identify reasonable and stable money demand relationships for Germany, France and Spain as well as the EMU-4 … aggregate. For the case of Italy, results are less clear. From the estimated money demand functions, we derive both EMU-4 and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003746606
Using a newly constructed macroeconometric model for Germany and the rest of the Euro area, we investigate the … macroeconomic effects of structural labor market reforms in Germany. We find that neither the fact that Germany can no longer pursue … Germany by implementing labor market reforms themselves constitute impediments to successful reforms. Reforms would relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003373604
A shortcoming of most empirical studies on aggregate exports is their exclusive focus on the demand side. Moreover, the effect of globalization is often neglected leading to implausibly high income elasticities. This paper models export demand and supply simultaneously and incorporates a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474729
A contingent claims valuation model which allows to highlight the implications of program trading in spot markets for the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476532
Germany is world champion in exporting capital ("Exportweltmeister"). No other country invests larger amounts of … savings outside its borders. However, Germany plays in the third division when it comes to investment performance, as we show … in this paper. We study the returns on German foreign investments from 1950 to 2017 and find that: (1) Germany's annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025673
In the past decade, Germany has been the world champion in exporting capital (“Exportweltmeister”). No other country … invested larger amounts of savings outside its borders. However, we find that Germany plays in the third division when it comes … for 13 advanced economies back to the 1970s. The data reveal that Germany’s annual returns on foreign assets were 2 to 5 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014276058
variables. Therefore, I derive a financial market stress indicator (FMSI) for Germany and the Euro Area using a dynamic … about fifteen percent of variation in real GDP growth can be accounted for variations in financial stress for Germany and …-of-sample forecasting accuracy for real GDP growth in Germany compared to a model without the indicator and other forecast benchmarks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382999