Showing 1 - 10 of 15
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146
rate of inflation is relatively high, as was the case in the 1970s. In general, the effect of growth on unemployment is … shown to be non-monotonic. There is a threshold level of inflation below (above) which faster growth leads to higher (lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440551
Available evidence supports the view that growth is faster in more open economies. In order to analyze the implications of openness and growth on determinacy and learnability of worldwide rational expectations equilibria we develop a two-country New Keynesian model with growth. We analyze these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696036
Der Beitrag analysiert die Argentinien-Krise, vergleicht die makroökonomische Entwicklung von Argentinien, Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko seit der Mexiko-Krise und entwickelt Indikatoren zur Beurteilung der Entwicklungschancen dieser Länder. Für Argentinien wie für Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491158
Between 1995 and 2005, the German economy has experienced a phase of weak economic growth. We analyze whether this weak growth performance can be attributed to the stance of monetary conditions during that period. We show that the real effective exchange rate did have almost no dampening effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003816156
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872
conditions, characterized by higher and more stable real per-capita growth rates, and lower and more stable inflation. This paper … complemented by better exchange rate management (resulting in lower exchange rate and inflation volatility) and more fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336273
In this paper, it is analyzed whether core money growth helps to predict future inflation in a useful and reliable way … information not contained in the inflation history, that its inclusion in a forecasting model can increase the forecasting … accuracy, and that it has had a strong and stable long-run link to inflation over the last decades. A particularly promising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003429547
We analyze the implications of changes in the trend growth rate for optimal monetary policy in the presence of search and matching unemployment. We show that trend growth in itself does not generate a trade-off for the monetary authority, but that it interacts importantly with the inefficiencies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300631
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220