The DART model is a multi-sectoral, multi-regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the world developed for the analysis of international climate policies. Since the first version of DART was developed at the Kiel Institute for World Economics in 1998, the model has undergone a...

This paper proposes an approach for estimating the uncertainty associated with model-based macroeconomic forecasts. We argue that estimated forecast intervals should account for the uncertainty arising from selecting the specification of an empirical forecasting model from the sample data. To...