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States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates … did not change substantially in Germany, increased and remained at relatively high levels in the United States, and … increased moderately in Canada. More recent data also show that, unlike Germany and Canada, the U.S. unemployment rate remains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457972
theoretically that volatility in fundamental variables such as the nominal interest rate that drive exchange rate volatility can … investment on exchange rate volatility. It is the first paper to provide empirical evidence that interest rate volatility may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465038
the exchange rate volatility, cyclicality and the FX risk premia in the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456650
This paper presents an overview and interpretation of the literature relating school quality to students' subsequent labor market success. We begin with a simple theoretical model that describes the determination of schooling and earnings with varying school quality. A key insight of the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473412
This study measures the heterogeneity of establishment-level employment changes in the U.S. manufacturing sector over the 1972 to 1986 period. We measure this heterogeneity in terms of the gross creation and destruction of jobs and the rate at which jobs are reallocated across plants. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475277
Machine learning (ML) is mostly a predictive enterprise, while the questions of interest to labor economists are mostly causal. In pursuit of causal effects, however, ML may be useful for automated selection of ordinary least squares (OLS) control variables. We illustrate the utility of ML for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480528
We revisit the hypothesis that cyclical fluctuations in unemployment are caused by shocks to the discount rate. We use a rich search-theoretic model of the labor market in which the UE, EU and EE rates are all endogenous. Analytically, we show that an increase in the discount rate lowers the UE...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481623
Previous studies for developed countries show negative short-run impacts of automation on employment and earnings. In this paper, we instead examine whether automation by a key trading partner can hurt workers in a developing country. We specifically focus in Colombia's labor market, and how the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482253
How does employer market power affect workers? We compute the concentration of new hires by occupation and commuting zone in France using linked employer-employee data. Using instrumental variables with worker and firm fixed effects, we find that a 10% increase in labor market concentration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482303
International trade exposure affects job creation and destruction along the intensive margin (job flows due to expansions and contractions of firms' employment) as well as along the extensive margin (job flows due to births and deaths of firms). This paper uses 1992-2011 employment data from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453633