The stock market crash of October 1987 was not followed by the widely-feared recession in the world economy. Most forecasts have been revised upward again, and many are even more favorable than before the crash. This is also the case for Western European countries. However, beyond the very short...

Prognostizieren ist schwer, vor allem, wenn es die Zukunft betrifft - mit diesen wie mit anderen Mahnungen werden Praktiker wie Wissenschaftler davor gewarnt, sich auf das dünne Eis des Orakels von Delphi zu begeben. Auch ironisierende Menetekel aus der Literatur wie Mark Twains Bemerkung über...

In the spring 2001, the world economy is in a delicate situation. The vigorous growth momentum that prevailed in the recovery in 1999 and into 2000 is clearly gone. In the second half of 2000, global growth decelerated rapidly. In contrast to the last downturn of the world economy in 1997/98,...

European integration is expected to enhance the attractiveness of EL) countries for domestic and foreign investors. This has caused concerns in developing countries that foreign direct investment there may be diverted to Europe. In preparing for the Single Market, European companies have indeed...

The expansion of Western European production accelerated in the first half of 1997. Exports were the main engine, driven by a devaluation of European currencies and strong growth abroad. Domestic demand also picked up somewhat led by investment in machinery and equipment. Inflation remained at...

Der Erfolg der marktorientierten Wirtschaftsreformen in Ungarn, Polen und der Sowjetunion hängt entscheidend davon ab, ob es diesen Ländern gelingt, die wirtschaftliche Zusammenarbeit mit ihren Nachbarn im Westen zu verstärken. Um die unvermeidliche Anpassungskrise meistern zu können, sind...