Drechsel, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - In: Kredit und Kapital 45 (2012) 1, pp. 1-26
The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster's Perspective This paper analyses the recession in 2008/2009 in Germany. This recession is very different from previous recessions in particular regarding their causes and magnitude. We show to what extent forecasters and forecasts based on leading...