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Currency Unions and Trade : A Post-EMU Mea Culpa

Glick, Reuven - 2015

In our European Economic Review (2002) paper, we used pre-1998 data on countries participating in and leaving currency unions to estimate the effect of currency unions on trade using (then-) conventional gravity models. In this paper, we use a variety of empirical gravity models to estimate the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457134

The Collection Efficiency of the Value Added Tax : Theory and International Evidence

Aizenman, Joshua - 2005

This paper evaluates the political economy and structural factors explaining the collection efficiency of the Value … Added Tax [VAT]. We consider the case where the collection efficiency is determined by the probability of audit and by the … penalty on underpaying. Implementation lags imply that the present policy maker determines the efficiency of the tax system …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467139

Sargent-Wallace Meets Krugman-Flood-Garber, or : Why Sovereign Debt Swaps Don't Avert Macroeconomic Crises

Aizenman, Joshua - 2002

-finance optimizing problem. We shows that under conditions similar to those which prevailed in Russia and Argentina prior to their …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469520

Geopolitical Shocks And Commodity Market Dynamics : New Evidence From The Russian-Ukraine Conflict

Aizenman, Joshua; Lindahl, Robert; Stenvall, David; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We investigate the event-based geopolitical shocks from the Russian invasion of Ukraine on selected agricultural and energy commodities using daily event-based structural vector autoregression (SVAR). We find that the geopolitical shock affects the markets of wheat (3%) and European natural gas...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447271

Risks and global supply chains : What we know and what we need to know

Baldwin, Richard E.; Freeman, Rebecca - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Recent supply disruptions catapulted the issue of risk in global supply chains (GSCs) to the top of policy agendas and created the impression that shortages would have been less severe if GSCs were either shorter and more domestic, or more diversified. But is this right? We start our answer by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660121

Exchange Market Pressure and Absorption by International Reserves : Emerging Markets and Fear of Reserve Loss During the 2008-09 Crisis

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

This paper evaluates how the global financial crisis emanating from the U.S. was transmitted to emerging markets. Our focus is on the extent that the crisis caused external market pressures (EMP), and whether the absorption of the shock was mainly through exchange rate depreciation or the loss...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462335

Non-Economic Engagement and International Exchange : The Case of Environmental Treaties

Rose, Andrew K. - 2008

We examine the role of non-economic partnerships in promoting international economic exchange. Since far-sighted countries are more willing to join costly international partnerships such as environmental treaties, environmental engagement tends to encourage international lending. Countries with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464658

Large Hoarding of International Reserves and the Emerging Global Economic Architecture

Aizenman, Joshua - 2007

patterns; and possibly even export promotion, though this mercantilist use of reserves remains debatable due to possible … coordination issues. Countries following an export oriented growth strategy may end up with competitive hoarding, akin to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465374

A Gravity Model of Sovereign Lending : Trade, Default and Credit

Rose, Andrew K. - 2002

One reason why countries service their external debts is the fear that default might lead to shrinkage of international trade. If so, then creditors should systematically lend more to countries with which they share closer trade links. We develop a simple theoretical model to capture this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469423

Contagion and Trade : Why Are Currency Crises Regional?

Glick, Reuven - 1998

Currency crises tend to be regional; they affect countries in geographic proximity. This suggests that patterns of international trade are important in understanding how currency crises spread, above and beyond any macroeconomic phenomena. We provide empirical support for this hypothesis. Using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472007