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employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
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This study documents how job seekers update perceived job-finding prospects by unemployment duration and by learning … about aggregate unemployment. We find that job seekers perceive an 18% decline in their job-finding probability for each … additional month of unemployment, but perceive a higher job-finding probability when the aggregate unemployment rate is …
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, that frictions (sand-in-the-wheels) may decrease unemployment and that the equilibrium is determined by two simple …
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This paper studies how gradualism affects the welfare gains from trade, technology, and reforms. When people face adjustment frictions, gradual shocks create less adverse distributional effects in the short run. We show that there are welfare gains from inducing a more gradual transition via...
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Recent empirical studies document that the distribution of earnings changes displays substantial deviations from lognormality: in particular, earnings changes are negatively skewed with extremely high kurtosis (long and thick tails), and these non-Gaussian features vary substantially both over...
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