In vector autoregressive analysis confidence intervals for individual impulse responses are typically reported to indicate the sampling uncertainty in the estimation results. A range of methods are reviewed and a new proposal is made for constructing joint confidence bands, given a prespecified...

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve publishes the range of members' forecasts for key macroeconomic variables, but not the distribution of forecasts within this range. To evaluate these projections, previous papers compare the midpoint of the ranges with the...

Agent based models of financial markets follow different approaches and might be categorized according to major building blocks used. Such building blocks include agent design, agent evolution, and the price finding mechanism. The performance of agent based models in matching key features of...

Topic modeling became an intensively researched area in economics, mainly due to the ever increasing availability of huge digital text information and the improvements in methods to analyze these datasets. In natural language processing, topic modeling describes a set of methods to extract the...

This paper proposes a new approach of forecasting prospective comparative advantages based on relative prices differences between countries in the context of economic liberalization. An empirical analysis based on the example of Central and East European countries that have already passed the...

Is academic research anticipating economic shake-ups or merely reflecting the past? Exploiting the corpus of articles published in the Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik) for the years 1949 to 2010, this pilot study proposes a quantitative...

An important role is ascribed to students' social networks in explaining both social and ethnic differentials in educational achievement and attainment. For example, students' social networks are assumed to influence their probability of success by providing educationally-relevant resources and...

Innovations contribute to economic growth. Hence, knowledge about drivers of innovation activities is a necessary input for economic policy making when it comes to implement targeted support measures. We focus on firms as potential drivers of innovation and use a novel data-driven approach to...

Universitäten und andere Hochschulen haben prägende Wirkung auf die Städte und Regionen, in denen sie angesiedelt sind. Neben unmittelbaren Effekten als großer Arbeitgeber und Nachfrager nach Gütern und Dienstleistungen ergeben sich mittelbare Effekte durch die Ausgaben der Beschäftigten...

This article investigates the construction of skewness-adjusted confidence intervals and joint confidence bands for impulse response functions from vector autoregressive models. Three different implementations of the skewness adjustment are investigated. The methods are based on a bootstrap...