This paper identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing countries. An emerging consensus in the recent literature focusing on industrialised counties has noted the superior performance of the FIGARCH model in the case of industrialised...

Development of methodology for deriving the monthly unemployment statistics directly from the quarterly Labour Force Survey (LFS) results by econometric modeling meets the requirements of insuring the information on short-term needed for employment policies, aiming to achieve the objectives of...

The HMR model extends the classical gravity model of trade to correct for the large number of zeros in the world trade matrix (export selection) and for the unobservable fraction of exporting fi�rms (extensive margin). They �find that, while omission of both of these corrections result in...

This is a mathematical companion for “Statistics for Business and Economics” by Paul Newbold, William L. Carlson and Betty Thorne, London: Prentice-Hall, 2003, 6th edition. It contains derivations of most formulas from the first 12 chapters of that textbook. Most importantly, the companion...

This paper explores the determinants of bilateral trade flows among Jordan, Israel and the Palestinian territories during the last 15 years. A gravity model is applied to international trade flows and empirically tested in order to investigate the relationship between the volume and direction of...

We use the same methodology, that Ecofin-Oecd apply for projecting expenditure in the medium-long term, to reconstruct expenditure in the medium-long past. It is possible to compare the effective expenditure with the reconstructed one. The effective expenditure is of course influenced by policy...