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The dynamic method of forecasting of the economy development is substantiated and the characteristics of its state are appointed. Presented are variants of the prognoses of changing the state of the economy, which were obtained by the method of dynamic modeling.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257779
The search for the credibility of monetary policies during the recent decades this is materialized , among other things, changes in the laws that govern the activities of the Central Bank, supposed main guarantor of the proper conduct of monetary policy. These changes are aimed , essentially the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274381
inflation for different horizons. We design our forecast experiment for the post-oil boom years of 2010-2014 and compare … advantage over naïve ones in boom and pre-boom years. We find that despite declining volatility in inflation over the post … of inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011251893
sectors, we deduce the overall inflation generated by direct and indirect requirements for the total economy. For example, an … increase in oil prices by 75% generates a global inflation cost between 5.5% and 8%. Symmetric scenarios indicate no strong … asymmetrical effects. The generated inflation may alter the stable path of inflation recorded over the past fifteen years putting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011253053
formulated at the beginning, one also notes that inflation has a negative effect on the economic growth. These results emphasize …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258720
likelihood of a variety of crises—banking, currency, external default and inflation. For Latin America, in particular, large … capital flow bonanzas have seldom ended well. The implications for inflation of importing (via less than fully flexible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258911
Overall inflation in Bangladesh saw a surge in inflation rate amid rising trend of global commodity prices in the last … few years. Inflation in 2009 was 6.66 percent and 7.31 percent in 2010. As higher inflation might have detrimental impact … on different sectors, this study aims to assess the impact of inflation on the performance of the financial sector in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258918
neighborhood and unobserved heterogeneity of countries of the region to analyze the effects of Policy mix on inflation, the output … mechanism of propagation of shocks affecting the level of inflation and a mecanisme for output stabilization. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258948
The article presents the author's model of pricing at the housing market. Economic indicators according to which the analysis should be carried out are defined in this article. The analysis of prices at the housing market of CIS countries on the example of Moscow in the post-Soviet period is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259018
opinions that the inflation target chosen at 2% by ECB for the Eurozone is too low, thereby making the whole MPS excessively … restrictive. I conclude observing that the “core” inflation-target of 2% is in fact at the very basis of the ECB non …, since the inflation target wasn’t in any jeopardy, the European Central Bank didn’t do anything. Maintaining the goal of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259088