Showing 1 - 10 of 120
The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789648
This paper is (over the formulas) self explaining . The measurement of economies no longer by GDP alone, but by an Index that includes other important factors as well, a So-cial factors relativized GDP. This index cuts out the part of the GDP that is long term fro-zen up by social transfers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259539
The paper describes the evolutionary history of Macroeconometrics over the last one hundred years. Three main approaches are distinguished, their underlying principles are discussed and the weakness of each principle is considered. The paper also shows the current developments in the field and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108276
Rising energy demand and prices, particularly for oil, has led to a search for solutions to quell this increase. With the advent of the Oil Sands, we have stumbled upon an opportunity to increase Oil supplies and thus stabilize prices and satisfy demand. A large portion of the oil sands are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009402060
This paper examines structural change in the power and heat producing sector (energy supply) and its implications for the economy. An integrated approach is used to describe the interactions between this sector and the rest of the economy. Thus, a very detailed model of the sector for Denmark...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109778
lagged relationship provides a precise forecast at the two-year horizon with root mean square forecasting error (RMSFE) as … forecast methodology effectively outperforms any other forecasting technique reported in economic and financial literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835571
The assumption we submit, because macroeconomic forcasts would be unperfect, is that behavioral equations doesn't enough describe economic behaviours through the capacity of reaction opposite to environment. Further, the forcaster belongs to his search-system, so that, may be, we must now...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836791
The following article considers the practical use of temporary connections that arise between different exchange assets. The concrete recommendations to build a trading strategy based on the theory of market focuses are proposed. The main idea in this case is that strong positive correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258360
In general, rational economic agents trade off the cost of waiting for the statistical agencies disseminate the final results of the relevant surveys before making a decision, on the one hand, and of making use of some model based predictions. Thus, from the viewpoint of agents, predictions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259931
This paper examines the dynamic of prices for different exchange assets in relation to the dynamics of other exchange instruments. The analysis shows that in certain periods there exists a strong connection between the exchange assets(direct or indirect) but it is rather unstable. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260013