Assume that S_{t} is a stock price process and Bt is a bond price process with a constant continuously compounded risk-free interest rate, where both are defined on an appropriate probability space P. Let y_{t} = log(S_{t}/S_{t-1}). y_{t} can be generally decomposed into a conditional mean plus...

This paper develops a systematic procedure of statistical inference for the ARMA model with unspecified and heavy-tailed heteroscedastic noises. We first investigate the least absolute deviation estimator (LADE) and the self-weighted LADE for the model. Both estimators are shown to be strongly...

Testing causality-in-mean and causality-in-variance has been largely studied. However, none of the tests can detect causality-in-mean and causality-in-variance simultaneously. In this article, we introduce a factor double autoregressive (FDAR) model. Based on this model, a score test is proposed...

This paper investigates the asymptotic theory of the quasi-maximum exponential likelihood estimators (QMELE) for ARMA–GARCH models. Under only a fractional moment condition, the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the global self-weighted QMELE are obtained. Based on this...