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Evaluation of the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers - Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI)
Harding, Don; Song, Lei Lei; Tran, Duy - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2001
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the Australian Industry Group / PricewaterhouseCoopers Performance of Manufacturing Index (Ai-PMI) as a tool for analysis. Particular interest focuses on the issue of how useful it is as an early signal of Australian business cycle turning points.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005616668
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Detecting and forecasting business cycle turning points
Harding, Don - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
research on detecting and forecasting business cycle turning points. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323455
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Desempleo y Actividad Económica Regional: Un Enfoque Cíclico
Acuña, Andrés - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
This paper analyzes the cyclical behavior of production and unemployment at regional level, using Chilean quarterly data which spans between 1986:Q1 and 2005:Q4. Once the data set is characterized, it proceeds to modeling the cyclical performance of regional unemployment using auto regressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789804
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Forecasting economy with Bayesian autoregressive distributed lag model: choosing optimal prior in economic downturn
Bušs, Ginters - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
Bayesian inference requires an analyst to set priors. Setting the right prior is crucial for precise forecasts. This paper analyzes how optimal prior changes when an economy is hit by a recession. For this task, an autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) model is chosen. The results show that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005103392
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Sectoral and Industrial Business Cycles
Everts, Martin - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2006
This article calculates the sectoral and industrial business cycles by means of the band-pass filters by Baxter and King (1999) and Christiano and Fitzgerald (2003), to subsequently analyze the correlations between the sectors and industries and the overall economy. It can be shown that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005620061
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Assessing the forecasting power of the leading composite index in Macedonia
Petreski, Marjan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
The objective of the paper is to evaluate the forecasting power of the leading composite index of Macedonia. The … leading index is a weighted index of indicators which are considered to lead the economic cycle. The main dynamic model in … the forecasting error behavior with the addition of the leading index and with the imposition of larger time span in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112596
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Standard of Living in the European Union
Stávková, Jana; Žufan, Pavel; Birčiaková, Naďa - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
attention is paid to the indicators of standard of living, and the frequent employment of GDP is discussed and compared with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260656
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Risk management – a new priority system customs and its consequences
Iacob, Constanta; Zaharia, Stefan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
The preoccupations concerning the analysis and the administration of the risks began in the year 1970 and lasted for 10 years, aiming at different fields of the human sciences: administration, sociology, economy, political sciences. The negligence in analyzing the risks for more than 20 years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261114
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Performance budgeting: selected international experiences and some lessons for Slovenia
Aristovnik, Aleksander; Seljak, Janko - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
the interdependence of social indicators and performance indicators for specific units/programs in public administration … effectiveness indicators at the level of sub-programs of selected budget users. A theoretical and methodological framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005025682
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The Maritime Potential of ASEAN Economies
Evers, Hans-Dieter; Karim, Azhari - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
studies the Center for Policy Research and International Studies (CenPRIS) in Penang developed a set of indicators to measure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009211204