This paper aims at uncovering the different channels through which de facto financial openness affects economic growth and its components. The results herein indicate that de facto measures of financial openness (as proxied by different types of capital inflows) stimulate economic growth. In...

This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other...

We study the effects of financial structure and financial development on banking fragility. We develop our study by using fixed-effects panel-data regressions and by controlling the effects of certain banking indicators. We use individual and principal-components indicators of the activity, size...

This paper investigates the effect of capital market development on the frequency of recession and the fraction of time the economy in recession using quarterly data of thirty-five countries from 1975 to 2004. The main finding is that frequency of recession is not robustly linked to measures of...

This paper investigates the effect of capital market development on severity of economic contraction, and probability of economic downturn. The major finding is that countries with deeper capital market would face less severe business cycle output contraction, and lower chance of an economic...

This paper investigates cross-country evidence on how capital market affects business cycle volatility. In contrast to the large and growing literature on the impact of finance and growth, empirical work on the relationship between finance and volatility has been relatively scarce....

The recent debate on the impact of capital regulation on bank behaviour shows that risk exposures of banks might influence the amount of loans newly granted to the non-financial sector. The paper extends the traditional set of bank-specific variables used in testing for the bank lending channel...

This work evaluates the bank lending channel in Brazil, in the post-Real Plan period. The work includes descriptive analysis and formal econometric tests based on several indicators of the credit market. First of all, the descriptive analysis shows that the main relationship between credit...

This paper studies panel data models with unobserved group factor structures. The group membership of each unit and the number of groups are left unspecified. The number of explanatory variables can be large. We estimate the model by minimizing the sum of least squared errors with a shrinkage...

This paper provides an answer to the question of whether Europe will be able to reach its tertiary education target by 2020. Insights into the dynamics of future education attainment and areas for effective policy interventions in the long-run are highlighted. We model the dynamics behind...