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Applying ARDL Cointegration, Johansen modelling and generalised impulse response function analyses in this paper, we provide new evidence for the Turkish Bilateral J-curve hypothesis in the short and long-run using both annual aggregated and disaggregated data over 1960 and 2000 period between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260321
This paper investigates evidence on the effect of dollar depreciation on the US tourism balance of trade. Export revenue and import spending functions are estimated separately with structural vector autoregressive methods to better capture the dynamic adjustment to exchange rate shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567959
Population ageing increases fiscal pressure by increasing the aged to working-age ratio, which simultaneously reduces the growth in government revenue and increases government social outlays. This study evaluates proposed tax and economic growth policies to meet the population ageing induced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258581
well contributory pensions and social allowances reached the poor and to which extent these transfers affected poverty and … weak evidence for multiplier effects for social transfers, but not for pensions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258856
The demographic database of Istat (www.istat.it)is explored and the main facts are extracted and described, both at the aggregate national level as well as at the regional one. This paper is completely self-standing but, at the same time, poses the basis for a more general analysis that will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259816
CeRM recommendation for creating a new tool, the Open Welfare Funds: open funds based on real capitalisation of contributions, dedicated to both pension and health care provisions, and linked to collective insurance coverage against major health risks (first of all lack of self-sufficiency)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650686
Variations between the diverse pension systems in the member states of the European Union hamper labour market mobility, across country borders but also within the countries of the European Union. From a macroeconomic perspective, and in the light of demographic pressure, this paper argues that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322625
lump sums with the risk that people outlive their resources. Finally, pensions in payment are not automatically adjusted to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422100
This presentation discusses how such integrated approach using shared demographic and macroeconomic assumptions has been developed in Belgium. It describes the dynamic microsimulation model MIDAS, highlighting how it aligns to the simulation results of the semi-aggregate model MALTESE. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647313
The EU expansion process is a dynamic one which requires the candidate country to acknowledge the latest developments in communitarian social policy. The dominant economic aspects are currently reinforced by the social ones. Likewise, a consensus must exist regarding the implementation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836397