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Estimating investors' behavior and errors in probabilistic forecasts by the Kolmogorov entropy and noise colors of non-hyperbolic attractors

Dominique, C-Rene - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258520

Estimating investors' behavior and errorsin probabilistic forecasts by the Kolmogorov entropy and noise colors of multifractal attractors

Dominique, C-Rene - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259566

Redefining the Economical Power of Nations

Kiss, Christian - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

This paper is (over the formulas) self explaining . The measurement of economies no longer by GDP alone, but by an Index that includes other important factors as well, a So-cial factors relativized GDP. This index cuts out the part of the GDP that is long term fro-zen up by social transfers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259539

Crecimiento Económico de Largo Plazo en Antioquia, Colombia : Estimación del PIB, 1800-1913 (Long Term Economic Growth in Antioquia, Colombia: GDP Estimates, 1800-1913)

Mejia, Javier - 2012

Este trabajo realiza el primer análisis cuantitativo detallado del nivel de actividad económica de Antioquia para el siglo XIX y la primera parte del XX. A partir de los datos existentes para la economía colombiana, se reconstruye la que es, además, una de las primeras series de PIB regional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014167721

Observed Relationships Between Economic And Technical Receipts Revisions In Federal Budget Projections

Kitchen, John - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2003

This paper presents results illustrating a close relationship between economic and technical errors in receipts projections made by the OMB and the CBO. The specific source appears to be the relationship between economic and technical errors for personal income tax receipts. Receipts projections...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552818

How accurate are the inflation forecasts published by the commercial banks?

Olafsdottir, Katrin; Sigurdsson, Kari - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007

how accurate these forecasts were from 2000 to 2006. Most of the forecasts have similar accuracy where the inflation rate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555444

Forecasting model of small scale industrial sector of West Bengal

Bera, Soumitra Kumar - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010

This study seeks to generate the forecasts for the small scale industrial sector of West Bengal for the ensuing decade … till 2019-20. Forecasts have been generated for production, direct employment, capital formation and number of units in … this period indicating low possibility of absorption of labor force in this sector. In the light of the forecasts, it is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805899

Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)

Meyler, Aidan; Rubene, Ieva - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

’s launch in January 1999. In summary, the results show that the SPF responses are quite timely and that the forecasts are based … is thus very important to consider the heterogeneity of the SPF forecasts when analysing and interpreting the results of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636478

Irrational Bias in Inflation Forecasts

Kim, Insu; Kim, Minsoo - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

This paper investigates the issue of rational expectations using inflation forecasts from the Survey of Professional …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014957

Forecasting credit growth rate in Romania: from credit boom to credit crunch?

Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

The specialists paid a special attention to credit growth in the transitions countries due to its sharp increase during the last years. However, once the financial crisis started in 2008, the credit activity evolution reversed. Consequently, forecasting the credit trend has become a subject of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037748