Similar Search Results

Estimating investors' behavior and errors in probabilistic forecasts by the Kolmogorov entropy and noise colors of non-hyperbolic attractors

Dominique, C-Rene - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258520

Estimating investors' behavior and errorsin probabilistic forecasts by the Kolmogorov entropy and noise colors of multifractal attractors

Dominique, C-Rene - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259566

Redefining the Economical Power of Nations

Kiss, Christian - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

This paper is (over the formulas) self explaining . The measurement of economies no longer by GDP alone, but by an Index that includes other important factors as well, a So-cial factors relativized GDP. This index cuts out the part of the GDP that is long term fro-zen up by social transfers...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259539

Crecimiento Económico de Largo Plazo en Antioquia, Colombia : Estimación del PIB, 1800-1913 (Long Term Economic Growth in Antioquia, Colombia: GDP Estimates, 1800-1913)

Mejia, Javier - 2012

Este trabajo realiza el primer análisis cuantitativo detallado del nivel de actividad económica de Antioquia para el siglo XIX y la primera parte del XX. A partir de los datos existentes para la economía colombiana, se reconstruye la que es, además, una de las primeras series de PIB regional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014167721

The development and production of GDP flash estimates in a newly industrialised country: the case of South Africa

Mustapha, Nazeem; Djolov, George - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010

The experience accumulated from the development and production of a flash estimate of GDP as an official statistic at Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) is presented and discussed. This experience could inform national statistical organisations operating under similar statistical production...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108180

Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections

Gatt, William - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2014

A short article which motivates the use of a fan chart in the communication of forecasts, with special emphasis on … inflation forecasts. A fan chart for Maltese HICP inflation projections is built, using the history of forecast errors. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111666

An Error Correction Analysis of Visitor Arrivals to the Bahamas

Charles, Jacky S.; Fullerton Jr., Thomas M. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012

influence tourism demand in this region, as well as accurate forecasts, can assist policy makers in their planning efforts and … Bahamas, while the cost of travel is generally insignificant. To further assess model reliability, forecasts of the ECMs are … forecasts, their performances are not superior to those provided by random walk benchmarks. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114172

Forecasting credit growth rate in Romania: from credit boom to credit crunch?

Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

The specialists paid a special attention to credit growth in the transitions countries due to its sharp increase during the last years. However, once the financial crisis started in 2008, the credit activity evolution reversed. Consequently, forecasting the credit trend has become a subject of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037748

Irrational Bias in Inflation Forecasts

Kim, Insu; Kim, Minsoo - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009

This paper investigates the issue of rational expectations using inflation forecasts from the Survey of Professional …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014957

Monetary Policy with Judgment: Forecast Targeting

Svensson, Lars O - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2005

"Forecast targeting", forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform substantially better than monetary policy that disregards judgment and follows a given instrument rule. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622114