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Estimating investors' behavior and errorsin probabilistic forecasts by the Kolmogorov entropy and noise colors of multifractal attractors
Dominique, C-Rene - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259566
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Estimating investors' behavior and errors in probabilistic forecasts by the Kolmogorov entropy and noise colors of non-hyperbolic attractors
Dominique, C-Rene - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
This paper investigates the impact of the Kolmogorov-Sinai entropy on both the accuracy of probabilistic forecasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258520
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Redefining the Economical Power of Nations
Kiss, Christian - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
This paper is (over the formulas) self explaining . The measurement of economies no longer by GDP alone, but by an Index that includes other important factors as well, a So-cial factors relativized GDP. This index cuts out the part of the GDP that is long term fro-zen up by social transfers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259539
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Crecimiento Económico de Largo Plazo en Antioquia, Colombia : Estimación del PIB, 1800-1913 (Long Term Economic Growth in Antioquia, Colombia: GDP Estimates, 1800-1913)
Mejia, Javier - 2012
Este trabajo realiza el primer análisis cuantitativo detallado del nivel de actividad económica de Antioquia para el siglo XIX y la primera parte del XX. A partir de los datos existentes para la economía colombiana, se reconstruye la que es, además, una de las primeras series de PIB regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014167721
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Irrational Bias in Inflation Forecasts
Kim, Insu; Kim, Minsoo - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
This paper investigates the issue of rational expectations using inflation forecasts from the Survey of Professional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014957
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Observed Relationships Between Economic And Technical Receipts Revisions In Federal Budget Projections
Kitchen, John - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2003
This paper presents results illustrating a close relationship between economic and technical errors in receipts projections made by the OMB and the CBO. The specific source appears to be the relationship between economic and technical errors for personal income tax receipts. Receipts projections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552818
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Forecasting credit growth rate in Romania: from credit boom to credit crunch?
Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
The specialists paid a special attention to credit growth in the transitions countries due to its sharp increase during the last years. However, once the financial crisis started in 2008, the credit activity evolution reversed. Consequently, forecasting the credit trend has become a subject of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037748
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Monetary Policy with Judgment: Forecast Targeting
Svensson, Lars O - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2005
"Forecast targeting", forward-looking monetary policy that uses central-bank judgment to construct optimal policy projections of the target variables and the instrument rate, may perform substantially better than monetary policy that disregards judgment and follows a given instrument rule. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622114
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Forecasting model of small scale industrial sector of West Bengal
Bera, Soumitra Kumar - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
This study seeks to generate the forecasts for the small scale industrial sector of West Bengal for the ensuing decade … till 2019-20. Forecasts have been generated for production, direct employment, capital formation and number of units in … this period indicating low possibility of absorption of labor force in this sector. In the light of the forecasts, it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805899
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The development and production of GDP flash estimates in a newly industrialised country: the case of South Africa
Mustapha, Nazeem; Djolov, George - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
The experience accumulated from the development and production of a flash estimate of GDP as an official statistic at Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) is presented and discussed. This experience could inform national statistical organisations operating under similar statistical production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108180