In Albers & Albers (Spring, 2013) we demonstrated that the historic development of U.S. real GNP, 1869-present, may be structured in recurring 14-year periods. A steady-state rate of growth of 3.4969% is thereby calculated, generating an increase in real GNP proportional to the famous “Golden...

This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...

In Part One of this paper we use the harmonic analogy of a musical octave to analyze mathematic ratios of U.S. real GNP. These ratios are generated by bringing together figures for U.S. real GNP over intervals of time – “spreads of years” – as numerator and denominator in a single...

This paper employs a nonparametric test to investigate nonlinearity in the long-run equilibrium relationship between GCC stock markets returns. The results in the paper show strong evidence of bivariate and multivariate cointegration between five of GCC stock markets. However, Bahrain stock...

We investigate the empirical support to the Purchasing Power Parity hypothesis by using sixteen real exchange rates for the decade 1999-2009. The literature has recently arrived to a solution to the two PPP puzzles if considering the post-Bretton Woods period from 1975 to 1998. Time series-based...

We formally define a concept of functional cointegration linking the dynamics of two time series via a functional coefficient. This is achieved through the use of a concept of summability as an alternative to I(1)'ness which is no longer suitable under nonlinear dynamics. We subsequently...

We develop a test of the joint null hypothesis of linearity and nonstationarity within a threshold autoregressive process of order one with deterministic components. We derive the limiting distribution of a Wald type test statistic and subsequently investigate its local power and nite sample...

What do economists understand about the economy if they do not understand the profit phenomenon? Next to nothing. Therefore, the very first task in theoretical economics is to clarify the difference between profit and wage income and their respective determinants. It was Ricardo who tackled the...

Exact diagnostics of inflation reasons is the necessary condition of correct stabilization policy oriented to social progress. The dominant type of inflation in Ukraine is cost-push inflation. The purpose of the article is to analyse inflation in Ukraine as a process of income redistribution...

This paper is (over the formulas) self explaining . The measurement of economies no longer by GDP alone, but by an Index that includes other important factors as well, a So-cial factors relativized GDP. This index cuts out the part of the GDP that is long term fro-zen up by social transfers...